有人/无人平台协同技术与行动模式研究

无人平台已广泛用于军用和民用市场，并在反恐、维稳、排爆，侦察等领域发挥了极其重要的作用。目前已形成了有人/无人平台共同协作完成任务的工作模式，大大地提高了工作的时效性、适应性、作战效能等。为了提高有人/无人平台的协同作战能力，本文研究有人/无人平台的协同作战技术体系以及作战模式，以解决在协同侦察、搜救、监视等应急任务中遇到的各种问题。此外，提出了一套完整的协同作战想定，可用于有效验证相关的协同技术。     

高炮旅(团)作战面向对象Petri网模型

概要分析了高炮旅(团)指挥控制与信息处理分发过程,对基本Petri进行扩展构建了面向对象Petri网模型,采用其分层次构建了高炮旅(团)作战OPN模型,较好地实现了对传统指控体制下高炮群作战与信息分发过程的静态与动态描述,为下一步具体仿真实现,找出现有传统指控体制存在的薄弱环节,进行相应改进提供了基础和依据。     

基于DEA模型的部队编制方案评价

建立了评价优选部队编制方案的数据包络分析(DEA)模型,该模型测算了各备选编制方案的总体效率、技术效率、规模效率等状况,对非DEA有效的编制方案提出了使其达到DEA有效的途径,给出了各备选编制方案的初排序.在此基础上,通过比较各有效备选编制方案平均横切效率的大小,得到所有备选编制方案的终排序.并就部队编制方案制定.提出了若干建议供决策部门参考.     

Modeling and analysis of a mixed‐model assembly line with stochastic operation times

We consider a mixed‐model assembly line (MMAL) comprised a set of workstations and a conveyor. The workstations are arranged in a serial configuration. The conveyor moves at a constant speed along the workstations. Initial units belonging to different models are successively fed onto the conveyor, and they are moved by the conveyor to pass through the workstations to gradually generate final products. All assembling tasks are manually performed with operation times to be stochastic. An important performance measure of MMALs is overload times that refer to uncompleted operations for operators within their work zones. This paper establishes a method to analyze the expected overload times for MMALs with stochastic operation times. The operation processes of operators form discrete time nonhomogeneous Markov processes with continuous state spaces. For a given daily production schedule, the expected overload times involve in analyzing the Markov processes for finite horizon. Based on some important properties of the performance measure, we propose an efficient approach for calculating the expected overload times. Numerical computations show that the results are very satisfactory. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Scheduling of depalletizing and truck loading operations in a food distribution system

This paper studies a scheduling problem arising in a beef distribution system where pallets of various types of beef products in the warehouse are first depalletized and then individual cases are loaded via conveyors to the trucks which deliver beef products to various customers. Given each customer's demand for each type of beef, the problem is to find a depalletizing and truck loading schedule that fills all the demands at a minimum total cost. We first show that the general problem where there are multiple trucks and each truck covers multiple customers is strongly NP‐hard. Then we propose polynomial‐time algorithms for the case where there are multiple trucks, each covering only one customer, and the case where there is only one truck covering multiple customers. We also develop an optimal dynamic programming algorithm and a heuristic for solving the general problem. By comparing to the optimal solutions generated by the dynamic programming algorithm, the heuristic is shown to be capable of generating near optimal solutions quickly. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2003     

适应保障建设需要 关注信息作战动员

新军事变革与军队信息化建设的发展,尤其是信息化武器装备的研制与发展,对装备保障和作战保障提出了越来越高的要求.而在常备军不断精简、"军民一体化"思想逐步深入之时,对国防动员的需求,特别是对信息作战动员的建设与发展的需求与日俱增.因此,在提出信息作战动员的基本内涵的基础上,结合国内外信息作战动员的发展现状,对如何有效实施信息作战动员提出几点看法.     

潜艇兵力作战方案选优软件的设计与实现

对联合封锁中潜艇兵力作战方案选优问题进行了研究,针对在只有一个选优指标时,人们通过比较分析法能够容易地准确判别方案优劣的特点,综合采用了改进的层次分析法、模糊综合评判等方法设计并实现了方案的选优。通过验证,该软件在应用于作战方案多目标决策等复杂系统时是适用的和可靠的,并且此软件较为简便,可操作性强。     

Conflict dynamics and costs in the Greek Civil War 1946–1949

Using a new set of data from Greek Army sources, US military archives, and Communist Party documents, the paper provides a quantitative analysis of the armed confrontation that took place in Greece during 1946–1949. A dynamic Lotka–Volterra model is estimated, pointing to the existence of a conflict trap that explains the prolongation of the civil war and its dire consequences for the country. A regional analysis finds that the mobilization of guerrilla forces was crucially affected by morphology and the local persecutions of political rivals. Using neoclassical growth-accounting, the economic cost of the conflict is estimated to surpass an annual GDP, in line with similar findings in contemporary civil wars. The same framework is employed to assess the outcome in counterfactual situations discussed in this paper.     

变工况下轴承健康监测的相关向量机与自适应阈值模型方法

工况在旋转机械运行过程中通常是变化的。变化的工况和故障一样,也会引起机械振动特征发生改变,从而引起诊断误差。为此,提出一种用于变工况下轴承健康监测的新方法。该方法使用相关向量机拟合振动特征的统计量随工况参数的变化,得到特征统计量与工况参数之间的连续函数关系;基于不同工况下的特征统计,构建自适应阈值模型。将该方法用于不同转速下的轴承健康监测,结果表明,当转速超过某一个较小的值时,该方法有效。     

海警部队参与海上反恐作战的思考

随着各国加强对空中和陆地恐怖主义的防控，恐怖主义把视角转向海上。海上恐怖主义具有事件的突发性、手段的多样性、处置的复杂性等特点。边防海警部队参与海上反恐作战有利于取得海上反恐斗争的胜利，有利于掌握海上反恐主动权，有利于顺应国际海上反恐斗争的形势。针对海上恐怖主义的特点，边防海警部队应做到以下几点：一是平时反恐作战准备应具有超前性，二是参与海上反恐作战应体现实效性，三是参与海上反恐作战应把握全局性。